Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
260-279: 35%
24h vol $560.5K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
260-279: 18%
24h vol $128.8K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $114.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
240-259: 14%
24h vol $37.4K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $21.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Jon Ossoff: 96%
24h vol $21.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey: 54%
24h vol $17.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
35-40M: 20%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?
40-64: 35%
24h vol $15.9K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
50–55M: 76%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?
Coal / Diesel: 89%
24h vol $15.1K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m: 73%
24h vol $14.1K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 53%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 28%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 62%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Top Spotify Song 2026
End of Beginning – Djo: 87%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 93%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 100%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 95%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?
270-280M: 73%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Top US Spotify Song 2026
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley: 90%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 79%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
Wildwood: 79%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
#2 Spotify Song 2026
Babydoll – Dominic Fike: 87%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations
Wildwood: 87%
24h vol $7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
25-30m: 46%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 33%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 72%
24h vol $6K · Ends Mar 2, 2027
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027: 22%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)
China / Chinese: 89%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor Y: 50%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
Julianne Moore: 91%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI: 69%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 96%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations
The Odyssey: 89%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Movie A: 50%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
You Can See Everything: 60%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
Wild Horse Nine: 88%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Placeholder g - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 24
Patient Zero - Taylor Swift: 93%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
#2 Spotify Artist in October?
The Weeknd: 56%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Billboard #1 Artist 2026
Morgan Wallen: 78%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No: 98%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Mar 1, 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Actor V: 50%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
SBF released from custody in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
Inde Navarrette: 58%
24h vol $3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028