Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
260-279: 28%
24h vol $761K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
60-80M: 97%
24h vol $247.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
300-319: 14%
24h vol $127.1K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 91%
24h vol $94.8K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $92.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 89%
24h vol $40K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 92%
24h vol $35K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
Tax 20+ times: 87%
24h vol $24.1K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film L: 50%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
65-89: 38%
24h vol $19.5K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
<22m: 48%
24h vol $19.3K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $18.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
<150M: 98%
24h vol $17.9K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 31%
24h vol $16K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
240-259: 14%
24h vol $15.7K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor H: 50%
24h vol $14.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 95%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
"Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2M: 86%
24h vol $12.5K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Placeholder r - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 53%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
December 31: 61%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 86%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 84%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Mar 2, 2027
Jynxzi beats Elden Ring DLC by...?
October 31: 97%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
92+: 95%
24h vol $8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
NAZA: 86%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
10m-12m: 29%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 100%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
"You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office
11M+: 98%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 85%
24h vol $6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool: 93%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
God is Shy: 70%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 41%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
GTA VI released by...?
November 30: 97%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 88%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 27%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations
Wildwood: 89%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo: 99%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations
Pale Sun: 48%
24h vol $4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations
Dune: Part Three: 94%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159: 73%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
No: 56%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31
Housewife - Tate McRae: 77%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 73%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 83%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 56%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Apr 1, 2027