Fact-checking AI output is the step that turns a quick summary into research you can rely on when forming a view on a prediction market.
Check Dates First
Many errors come from outdated information. Confirm when each fact was true and whether anything has changed since.
Go to Primary Sources
Prefer official announcements, rule documents and original data over articles that repeat them. If a claim has no traceable source, treat it as unverified.
Watch for Invented Details
Models sometimes produce plausible names, quotes or figures that do not exist. Search for each specific detail before using it.
Worked Example
An AI summary says a regulator scheduled a decision for next week. The trader searches the regulator's official site and finds no such date. They drop the claim, and their estimate for the market stays close to the 51¢ price instead of jumping on a false signal.
Key Takeaways
- Confirm dates before anything else.
- Trace every claim to a primary source.
- Search specific names, quotes and numbers.
- Unverified claims should not move your estimate.