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Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Reservists and New Economic Party

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Amcha Yisrael

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $749.8

  • RZP-Zehut

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $17.8K

  • Blue & White

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $17.9K

  • Ra'am

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $15.2K

Regras de resolução

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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