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Brazil Presidential Election

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $22.3M · Liquidity $1.6M

  • Flávio Bolsonaro

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $19.7M · Liquidity $930.8K

  • Renan Santos

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $17.1M · Liquidity —

  • Tarcisio de Freitas

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $15M · Liquidity —

  • Ratinho Júnior

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.5M · Liquidity $0

  • Eduardo Bolsonaro

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.5M · Liquidity —

  • Michelle Bolsonaro

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.4M · Liquidity —

  • Geraldo Alckmin

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $9.4M · Liquidity —

  • Eduardo Leite

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $8M · Liquidity $0

  • Ronaldo Caiado

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.8M · Liquidity —

  • Fernando Haddad

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.7M · Liquidity —

  • Romeu Zema

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.7M · Liquidity —

  • Jair Bolsonaro

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.6M · Liquidity —

  • Camilo Santana

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.6M · Liquidity $0

  • Augusto Cury

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.5M · Liquidity —

  • Aldo Rebelo

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5M · Liquidity —

  • Tereza Cristina

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.1M · Liquidity $0

  • Pablo Marçal

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4M · Liquidity $0

  • Helder Barbalho

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regras de resolução

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g.,

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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