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How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Below 5.46%

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $95.2

  • Below 5.49%

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $286.8

  • Below 5.52%

    • Yes48%
    • No53%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $216.9

  • Below 5.35%

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $124

  • Below 5.55%

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $169.5

  • Below 5.40%

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $116.8

  • Below 5.43%

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $800.3 · Liquidity $96.4

  • Below 5.25%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $607.4 · Liquidity $424.1

  • Below 5.30%

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $498 · Liquidity $813.2

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see:

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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