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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Below 3.8%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $65.1K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Below 3.9%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $57.1K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Below 3.5%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $43.7K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Below 1.0%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $40.8K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Below 3.7%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $38.1K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Below 4.0%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $31.8K · Liquidity —

  • Below 4.1%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $12.5K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Below 4.5%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $12.5K · Liquidity $23.9K

  • Below 3.6%

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $12.5K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Below 3.0%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $8K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Below 4.4%

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $24.4K

  • Below 4.6%

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $5.8K

  • Below 4.7%

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • Below 4.2%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Below 2.0%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • Below 4.3%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $11.8K

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see:

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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