Iran leadership change by...?
{name}: izgledi uživo
December 31
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $5.1M · Liquidity $176.1K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity —
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.4M · Liquidity —
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4M · Liquidity —
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.2M · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $574.8K · Liquidity $88.9K
June 30, 2027
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volume $367K · Liquidity $87K
November 30
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $156.5K · Liquidity $124.9K
August 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $79.5K · Liquidity —
August 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $61.8K · Liquidity —
March 13
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Kako tumačiti ove izglede
Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.
Više tržišta: Politika

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 67%
24h vol $368.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $284.2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 86%
24h vol $110.6K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 20%
24h vol $51.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $45.8K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 54%
24h vol $29.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Jared Kushner: 43%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31: 23%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Houthis enter Aden by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 43%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 94%
24h vol $26.3K · Ends 1. pro 2026.

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 66%
24h vol $12.4K · Ends 30. stu 2026.

