Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
{name}: izgledi uživo
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.6M · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity $262.8K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $0
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $183.5K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity —
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $831.1K · Liquidity $0
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $330.3K · Liquidity —
June 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $221.1K · Liquidity —
June 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $129.3K · Liquidity —
Pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at , including both the chart and downloadable files.
Kako tumačiti ove izglede
Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.
Više tržišta: Politika

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $385K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 68%
24h vol $272.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 48%
24h vol $37.2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 18%
24h vol $33.6K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31: 23%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve Witkoff: 42%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $6K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 52%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 94%
24h vol $20.5K · Ends 1. pro 2026.

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 57%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 30. stu 2026.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 89%
24h vol $488.4K · Ends 4. stu 2026.

