Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
Denver, CO
- Yes91%
- No10%
Volume $10.8K · Liquidity $2.2K
San Diego, CA
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $9K · Liquidity —
Las Vegas, NV
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $914.2
Sacramento, CA
- Yes19%
- No82%
Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $509.9
Tampa, FL
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $5.2K · Liquidity —
Boston, MA
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $495.7
Philadelphia, PA
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $290.5
Detroit, MI
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $553.9
Portland, OR
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $328.2
Minneapolis, MN
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $254.6
New York, NY
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $171.9
Washington, DC
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $314.1
New Orleans, LA
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.1K
Seattle, WA
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.9K
Pittsburgh, PA
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $5.3K
Baltimore, MD
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $880.6
Chicago, IL
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.9K
London, UK
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.3K
Charlotte, NC
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $769.2 · Liquidity $277.5
St. Louis, MO
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volume $743.4 · Liquidity $3.8K
Tokyo, Japan
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $529.4 · Liquidity $4.3K
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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