Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
60%+
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $57.9K · Liquidity $1.7K
65%+
- Yes33%
- No68%
Volume $29K · Liquidity $2.5K
70%+
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $8.9K · Liquidity $1.1K
75%+
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1K
90%+
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $2.3K
80%+
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.5K
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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