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ThePolyAcademy
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Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet

  • OpenAI

    • Yes49%
    • No52%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $950.1

  • Anthropic

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $746.1

  • Google

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $722

  • Moonshot

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $741.6 · Liquidity $941.6

  • Meta

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $707 · Liquidity $664.3

  • MiniMax

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $588.8 · Liquidity $723.5

  • Baidu

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $535.8 · Liquidity $560.6

  • Meituan

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $403.7 · Liquidity $521.9

  • Nvidia

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $362.8 · Liquidity $591.4

  • SpaceXAI

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $296.8 · Liquidity $533.8

  • Amazon

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $292 · Liquidity $501.3

  • Z.ai

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $273 · Liquidity $519.2

  • Alibaba

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $267.6 · Liquidity $542.7

  • Microsoft

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $257.2 · Liquidity $586.6

  • Mistral

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $253.8 · Liquidity $535.8

  • DeepSeek

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $251.8 · Liquidity $604.7

  • ByteDance

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $246.8 · Liquidity $573.3

  • Tencent

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $246.8 · Liquidity $594.6

  • Xiaomi

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $236.8 · Liquidity $601

  • Company L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä

Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.

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