Gemini 4.0 released by...?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $644.2K · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $243.5K · Liquidity $12.4K
October 15
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volume $207.3K · Liquidity $5.3K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $92.2K · Liquidity $0
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $61.7K · Liquidity —
November 30
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $54K · Liquidity $9K
October 10
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $39.9K · Liquidity —
October 14
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $36.4K · Liquidity $1.4K
October 13
- Yes31%
- No70%
Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $1.5K
October 16
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $24.8K · Liquidity $3K
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $19.1K · Liquidity —
October 12
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $15.5K · Liquidity $5.3K
October 23
- Yes83%
- No18%
Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $6.3K
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.1K · Liquidity —
October 5
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3K · Liquidity —
October 9
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity —
October 2
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity —
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
Lisää Teknologia-markkinoita

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