How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
12-15
- Yes85%
- No15%
Volume $58.1K · Liquidity $2K
16-19
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $39.9K · Liquidity $1.9K
<12
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $39.5K · Liquidity $2.1K
20-23
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $23K · Liquidity $1.6K
24-27
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $18.4K · Liquidity $2.6K
28-31
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $1.3K
32+
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $2.4K
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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