Next Prime Minister of Spain?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
Pedro Sánchez
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $404.7K · Liquidity $196K
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
- Yes81%
- No20%
Volume $388.2K · Liquidity $100.2K
Santiago Abascal
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $253.7K · Liquidity $108K
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $227.3K · Liquidity $105.4K
Carlos Cuerpo
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $178.7K · Liquidity $126.5K
Yolanda Díaz
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $100.4K · Liquidity $140.9K
Óscar Puente
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $75.5K · Liquidity $69.8K
Miguel Tellado
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $24K · Liquidity $83.8K
María Jesús Montero
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $20K · Liquidity $87.4K
Carles Puigdemont
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $19.9K · Liquidity $78.2K
Ester Muñoz
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $17.4K · Liquidity $88.1K
Cuca Gamarra
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.9K · Liquidity $79.2K
Borja Sémper
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $84.4K
Pepa Millán
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $87.2K
Ernest Urtasun
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $87.7K
Aitor Esteban
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $87.4K
Person AH
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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