Siirry sisältöön

Next French Presidential Election

{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet

  • Ségolène Royal

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7M · Liquidity $112.5K

  • Olivier Faure

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $202.4K

  • Mathilde Panot

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $613.4K

  • François Asselineau

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.3M · Liquidity $412.7K

  • Xavier Bertrand

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.2M · Liquidity $723.5K

  • François Bayrou

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.9M · Liquidity $628.5K

  • Yaël Braun-Pivet

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.8M · Liquidity $467.4K

  • Élisabeth Borne

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.5M · Liquidity $612.3K

  • Michel Barnier

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.3M · Liquidity $599.8K

  • Manuel Bompard

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $237K

  • Clémentine Autain

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5M · Liquidity $610.1K

  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.9M · Liquidity $429.5K

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $4.8M · Liquidity $304.7K

  • Carole Delga

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $618.9K

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $364.6K

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.5M · Liquidity $957.9K

  • Fabien Roussel

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.3M · Liquidity $511.1K

  • Clémence Guetté

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.2M · Liquidity $634.1K

  • Valérie Pécresse

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.1M · Liquidity $615.1K

  • Laurent Wauquiez

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.7M · Liquidity $570.3K

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $3.6M · Liquidity $586.3K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3M · Liquidity $246.5K

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.9M · Liquidity $284.7K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.8M · Liquidity $308.4K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $210.4K

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.6M · Liquidity $231.4K

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $287.2K

  • Bernard Cazeneuve

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $187.3K

  • François Hollande

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $165.8K

  • Juan Branco

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $127.3K

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $362.9K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $232.8K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $452.9K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $239.1K

  • Gérald Darmanin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $366.2K

  • Jean Castex

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.9M · Liquidity $109.1K

  • François Baroin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $44.4K

  • Karim Bouamrane

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $978.1K

  • Christine Lagarde

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $924.2K · Liquidity $134.8K

  • Yannick Jadot

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $750.5K · Liquidity $543.4K

  • Marion Maréchal

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $489.7K · Liquidity $458K

  • Lucie Castets

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $423.8K · Liquidity $544.3K

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  • Other

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  • Person Z

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  • Person AA

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Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (

Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä

Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.

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