Next French Presidential Election
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
Ségolène Royal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7M · Liquidity $112.5K
Olivier Faure
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $202.4K
Mathilde Panot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $613.4K
François Asselineau
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.3M · Liquidity $412.7K
Xavier Bertrand
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.2M · Liquidity $723.5K
François Bayrou
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.9M · Liquidity $628.5K
Yaël Braun-Pivet
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.8M · Liquidity $467.4K
Élisabeth Borne
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.5M · Liquidity $612.3K
Michel Barnier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3M · Liquidity $599.8K
Manuel Bompard
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $237K
Clémentine Autain
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity $610.1K
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.9M · Liquidity $429.5K
David Lisnard
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $4.8M · Liquidity $304.7K
Carole Delga
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $618.9K
François Ruffin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $364.6K
Marine Tondelier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.5M · Liquidity $957.9K
Fabien Roussel
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.3M · Liquidity $511.1K
Clémence Guetté
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity $634.1K
Valérie Pécresse
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.1M · Liquidity $615.1K
Laurent Wauquiez
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.7M · Liquidity $570.3K
Marine Le Pen
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $3.6M · Liquidity $586.3K
Gabriel Attal
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $3M · Liquidity $246.5K
Éric Zemmour
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.9M · Liquidity $284.7K
Bruno Retailleau
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.8M · Liquidity $308.4K
Jordan Bardella
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $210.4K
Sarah Knafo
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.6M · Liquidity $231.4K
Dominique de Villepin
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $287.2K
Bernard Cazeneuve
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $187.3K
François Hollande
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $165.8K
Juan Branco
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $127.3K
Raphaël Glucksmann
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $362.9K
Édouard Philippe
- Yes20%
- No81%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $232.8K
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $452.9K
Sébastien Lecornu
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $239.1K
Gérald Darmanin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $366.2K
Jean Castex
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.9M · Liquidity $109.1K
François Baroin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $44.4K
Karim Bouamrane
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $978.1K
Christine Lagarde
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $924.2K · Liquidity $134.8K
Yannick Jadot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $750.5K · Liquidity $543.4K
Marion Maréchal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $489.7K · Liquidity $458K
Lucie Castets
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $423.8K · Liquidity $544.3K
Person AR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
Lisää Politiikka-markkinoita

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp: 70%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 1.6.2027

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Chris Thomas: 99%
24h vol $8K · Ends 1.8.2027

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes: 99%
24h vol $24.7K · Ends 1.1.2027

Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 66%
24h vol $22.4K · Ends 29.11.2026

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 62%
24h vol $377.3K · Ends 4.11.2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 52%
24h vol $193.1K · Ends 4.11.2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 89%
24h vol $184.8K · Ends 4.11.2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 55%
24h vol $140.5K · Ends 4.11.2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 91%
24h vol $114.2K · Ends 4.11.2026

Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 64%
24h vol $99.1K · Ends 4.11.2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 62%
24h vol $75.8K · Ends 4.11.2026

Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D): 72%
24h vol $72.9K · Ends 4.11.2026

