Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
December 31
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $13.6K · Liquidity $28.7K
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gyanesh Kumar ceases to be Chief Election Commissioner of India for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gyanesh Kumar's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gyanesh Kumar, the Election Commission of India, and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
Lisää Politiikka-markkinoita

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $477.4K · Ends 1.1.2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $318.1K · Ends 1.1.2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 68%
24h vol $271K · Ends 1.1.2027

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
June 30, 2027: 60%
24h vol $68.9K · Ends 1.1.2027

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $67.7K · Ends 1.1.2027

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%: 52%
24h vol $67.5K · Ends 1.1.2027

Next leader out of power before 2027?
None before 2027: 47%
24h vol $56.2K · Ends 1.1.2027

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $44.1K · Ends 1.1.2027

Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $42.6K · Ends 1.1.2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $35.6K · Ends 1.1.2027

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 48%
24h vol $32.3K · Ends 1.1.2027

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends 1.1.2027

