Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.6M · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity $266.8K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $0
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $211.1K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity —
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $831.1K · Liquidity $0
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $330.3K · Liquidity —
June 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $221.1K · Liquidity —
June 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $129.3K · Liquidity —
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at , including both the chart and downloadable files.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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