France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $21.4K
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government explicitly claims that the authorities of a foreign country deliberately caused or facilitated the unrest that began in France on October 17, 2026, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a claim requires an on-the-record public statement issued by an authorized person or entity representing the French government, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that the authorities of a foreign country deliberately caused or facilitated the unrest. A statement from a lawmaker speaking in their own capacity or on behalf of a party not in government will not alone qualify. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. Statements that do not attribute deliberate intent to the authorities of a foreign country (e.g., "foreign actors exploited the unrest to spread disinformation") will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Maailm

France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $33.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Macron out by...?
No: 95%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 86%
24h vol $16K · Ends 18. apr 2027

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
24h vol $463.6K · Ends 19. apr 2027

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 56%
24h vol $28K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 20: 86%
24h vol $65.6K · Ends 1. nov 2026

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 22: 100%
24h vol $53.5K · Ends 1. nov 2026

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $44.6K · Ends 1. nov 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
24h vol $101.7K · Ends 31. dets 2026

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 99%
24h vol $686.9K · Ends 31. dets 2026

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027: 49%
24h vol $266.7K · Ends 31. dets 2026

