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ThePolyAcademy
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French Presidential Election First Round Winner

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volume $447.4 · Liquidity $12K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $273.9 · Liquidity $11.3K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $229.9 · Liquidity $512.7

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $220.9 · Liquidity $593.4

  • François Hollande

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $903.1

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $987

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $11.2K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $637.8

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $890

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $10.6K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $588

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1K

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $173.9 · Liquidity $488.9

  • Christine Lagarde

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $153.9 · Liquidity $428.6

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

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