Next French Presidential Election
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
Ségolène Royal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7M · Liquidity $116.5K
Olivier Faure
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $106.4K
Mathilde Panot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $612.7K
François Asselineau
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.3M · Liquidity $412.9K
Xavier Bertrand
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.2M · Liquidity $722.7K
François Bayrou
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.9M · Liquidity $625.9K
Yaël Braun-Pivet
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.8M · Liquidity $466K
Élisabeth Borne
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.5M · Liquidity $610.6K
Michel Barnier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3M · Liquidity $599K
Manuel Bompard
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $236.1K
Clémentine Autain
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity $610K
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.9M · Liquidity $429K
Carole Delga
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $618.2K
David Lisnard
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $312.6K
François Ruffin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $371.9K
Marine Tondelier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.5M · Liquidity $965.8K
Fabien Roussel
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.3M · Liquidity $510.1K
Clémence Guetté
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity $631.9K
Valérie Pécresse
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.1M · Liquidity $614.5K
Laurent Wauquiez
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.7M · Liquidity $569.5K
Marine Le Pen
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $3.6M · Liquidity $524.1K
Gabriel Attal
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $3M · Liquidity $272K
Éric Zemmour
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.9M · Liquidity $307K
Bruno Retailleau
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.8M · Liquidity $330.5K
Jordan Bardella
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $233.3K
Sarah Knafo
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $260.4K
Dominique de Villepin
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $308.3K
Bernard Cazeneuve
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $186.5K
François Hollande
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $195.9K
Juan Branco
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $125.1K
Raphaël Glucksmann
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $396.9K
Édouard Philippe
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $278.6K
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $477.6K
Gérald Darmanin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $363.4K
Sébastien Lecornu
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $262.6K
Jean Castex
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.9M · Liquidity $109.4K
François Baroin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $42.3K
Karim Bouamrane
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $986.7K
Christine Lagarde
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $902.9K · Liquidity $170.7K
Yannick Jadot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $750.5K · Liquidity $542.7K
Marion Maréchal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $489.7K · Liquidity $456.9K
Lucie Castets
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $423.8K · Liquidity $543.8K
Person CO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Poliitika

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen: 89%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 19. apr 2027

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmund: 78%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends 1. juuni 2027

Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 66%
24h vol $44.9K · Ends 29. nov 2026

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 62%
24h vol $780.8K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 89%
24h vol $488.4K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 91%
24h vol $135.5K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 63%
24h vol $113.1K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 64%
24h vol $40.1K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 71%
24h vol $34K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 84%
24h vol $30.6K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 62%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends 4. nov 2026

