Maailm Prediction Markets
Geopoliitika ja maailma sündmused.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 42%
24h vol $457.4K · Ends 19. apr 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $322.7K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 47%
24h vol $232.8K · Ends 28. okt 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $228.8K · Ends 26. okt 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $185.3K · Ends 26. okt 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 24%
24h vol $151.7K · Ends 3. jaan 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $130.9K · Ends 31. dets 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $73K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $70.7K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $65K · Ends 1. juuli 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $44.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 100%
24h vol $35.6K · Ends 1. nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $31.6K · Ends 31. dets 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $26.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $25.8K · Ends 1. juuli 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $24.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $23.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 21%
24h vol $21.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 76%
24h vol $20.7K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $14.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Donald Trump: 9%
24h vol $14.2K · Ends 1. apr 2028
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends 1. nov 2026
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2028
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $12K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person L: 50%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends 1. märts 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends 26. okt 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 31. dets 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 28%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 79%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 95%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 34%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
Yes: 63%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1. märts 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 1. jaan 2028
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 31. dets 2026
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
3: 36%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 1. nov 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
October 31: 60%
24h vol $6K · Ends 1. nov 2026
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 67%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends 20. okt 2026
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
June 30, 2027: 50%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 36%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 87%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends 30. nov 2026
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 53%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends 18. apr 2027
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027