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ThePolyAcademy
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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • December 31, 2026

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $98.3K

  • September 30, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $392.4K · Liquidity —

  • October 31, 2026

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $145.6K · Liquidity $54K

  • November 30, 2026

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $12.5K · Liquidity $53.7K

  • December 31, 2027

    • Yes46%
    • No55%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $34.6K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes34%
    • No67%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $36.2K

  • March 31, 2027

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $18.9K

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused

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