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ThePolyAcademy
ET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • December 31

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $41.1M · Liquidity $617.3K

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $11.2M · Liquidity —

  • May 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $8.7M · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.2M · Liquidity —

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.9M · Liquidity —

  • April 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.9M · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $651.1K · Liquidity $49.2K

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused

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