Swiss National Bank decision in December?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
25 bps increase
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $15.4K · Liquidity $11K
No Change
- Yes75%
- No26%
Volume $12K · Liquidity $7.3K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $3.8K
50+ bps increase
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $4.1K
25 bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $4.3K
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for December 10, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar ( This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Majandus

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 62%
24h vol $16.3K · Ends 9. dets 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $63.2K · Ends 10. dets 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends 10. dets 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends 9. dets 2026

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 49%
24h vol $995.2 · Ends 18. dets 2026

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends 31. dets 2026

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31. dets 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $31.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 76%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends 4. nov 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 92%
24h vol $25.1K · Ends 30. okt 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 81%
24h vol $1.3M · Ends 29. okt 2026

