Fed Decision in December?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
25 bps increase
- Yes75%
- No26%
Volume $763.2K · Liquidity $149.2K
No change
- Yes23%
- No78%
Volume $656.3K · Liquidity $203.5K
25 bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $592.3K · Liquidity $142.8K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $552.4K · Liquidity $120.6K
50+ bps increase
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $412.9K · Liquidity $135.7K
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Majandus

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 84%
24h vol $331.1K · Ends 29. okt 2026

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 28. jaan 2027

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.3K · Ends 10. dets 2026

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 65%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 10. dets 2026

Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4. dets 2026

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 18. dets 2026

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 31. dets 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $27.4K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 16%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 61%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $770.5 · Ends 1. jaan 2027

October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 6. nov 2026

