Fed Decision in October?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
No change
- Yes84%
- No17%
Volume $8.5M · Liquidity $564.7K
25 bps increase
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $7.2M · Liquidity $757.7K
25 bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $6.1M · Liquidity $270.4K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.9M · Liquidity $1.1M
50+ bps increase
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.4M · Liquidity $431.5K
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Majandus

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends 10. dets 2026

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 28. jaan 2027

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 28. okt 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 95%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends 30. okt 2026

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30. okt 2026

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
2.5-3.0%: 27%
24h vol $648.2 · Ends 30. okt 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 28. okt 2026

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 44%
24h vol $789.2 · Ends 30. okt 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 54%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. nov 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 68%
24h vol $667.3 · Ends 1. nov 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 29%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 3. nov 2026

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 73%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends 4. nov 2026

