Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 79%
Vol. 24h $1.4M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $759.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 99%
Vol. 24h $688K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 53%
Vol. 24h $641.8K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
Vol. 24h $453.1K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $303.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027: 49%
Vol. 24h $266.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $262.7K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $118.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $101.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 92%
Vol. 24h $101.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $94.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $90.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $87.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
December 31: 22%
Vol. 24h $69K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 20: 87%
Vol. 24h $66.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $66K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 34%
Vol. 24h $55.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 27%
Vol. 24h $54.2K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 22: 100%
Vol. 24h $53K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 91%
Vol. 24h $50.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 30%
Vol. 24h $44.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $42.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $40.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $35.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $33.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Iran coup attempt by...?
December 31, 2027: 27%
Vol. 24h $26.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 56%
Vol. 24h $24.1K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 81%
Vol. 24h $23.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 91%
Vol. 24h $22.5K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $19.3K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
78-80%: 60%
Vol. 24h $18.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $17K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $16.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 40%
Vol. 24h $16.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 86%
Vol. 24h $16K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Yulia Navalnaya: 10%
Vol. 24h $15.7K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela: 10%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
UAE: 71%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.5K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $11.5K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?
March 31, 2027: 38%
Vol. 24h $10.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 74%
Vol. 24h $10K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
Vol. 24h $8.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Macron out by...?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 84%
Vol. 24h $7.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027