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ThePolyAcademy
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French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Mercados

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volumen $447.4 · Liquidez $12.2K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volumen $273.9 · Liquidez $11.4K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $229.9 · Liquidez $456.9

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $220.9 · Liquidez $541.3

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $1K

  • François Hollande

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $1.1K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $916.2

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $10.6K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $546.3

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $11.3K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $757.2

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $884.6

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $1K

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $209.9 · Liquidez $1.3K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $173.9 · Liquidez $559.9

  • Christine Lagarde

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $153.9 · Liquidez $503.3

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

Reglas de resolución

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

Calculadoras de probabilidad · Glosario · Cursos gratuitos

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