Iran leader end of 2026?

Mercados

Mojtaba Khamenei
- Yes87%
- No13%
Volumen $6.6M · Liquidez $74.9K
Mohammad Khatami
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $5.2M · Liquidez $55.6K
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $3.7M · Liquidez $74.1K
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $3.4M · Liquidez $70K
Hassan Shariatmadari
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $3.2M · Liquidez $69.8K
Alireza Arafi
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $2.3M · Liquidez $77.8K
Hassan Khomeini
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $1.4M · Liquidez $79.3K
No Head of State
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $1.2M · Liquidez $109.7K
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $1.1M · Liquidez $70.6K
Masoud Pezeshkian
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $1M · Liquidez $67.9K
Hassan Rouhani
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $949.3K · Liquidez $78.9K
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $925.5K · Liquidez $72.8K
Maryam Rajavi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $905K · Liquidez $65.4K
Ali Motahari
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $860.2K · Liquidez $56K
Abbas Araghchi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $837.5K · Liquidez $77.2K
Ahmad Vahidi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $783.4K · Liquidez $72.6K
Reza Pahlavi
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $694.1K · Liquidez $149.9K
Sadegh Larijani
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $570.5K · Liquidez $65.2K
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $468.7K · Liquidez $82.2K
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $441.6K · Liquidez $78.1K
Massoud Rajavi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $411.9K · Liquidez $86K
Saeed Jalili
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $400.1K · Liquidez $74.3K
Ali Asghar Hejazi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $355.6K · Liquidez $74.2K
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $314.5K · Liquidez $74.7K
Mohsen Araki
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $295K · Liquidez $73.5K
Sadegh Mahsouli
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $274.1K · Liquidez $86.1K
Nasir Hosseini
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $267.6K · Liquidez $82.8K
Navid Shomali
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $258.8K · Liquidez $97.7K
Ali Larijani
Cerrado
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $236.9K · Liquidez —
Mustafa Hijri
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $206.8K · Liquidez $77.3K
Reza Pirzadeh
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $156.7K · Liquidez $81K
ae
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
af
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
o
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ag
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ah
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ai
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
aj
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ak
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
al
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
am
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
an
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ao
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ap
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bj
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bk
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bl
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bm
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bn
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bo
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bp
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bq
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
br
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bs
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bt
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bu
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bv
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bw
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
by
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bz
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cw
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cx
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cy
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cz
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
p
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
q
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
r
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
s
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
t
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
u
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
v
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
w
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
x
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
y
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
z
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
aa
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ab
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ac
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ad
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ca
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cb
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cc
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cd
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ce
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cf
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cg
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ch
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ci
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cj
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cl
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cm
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cn
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
co
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cq
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cr
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cs
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ct
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cu
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cv
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ck
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Mohammad Pakpour
Cerrado
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen — · Liquidez —
aq
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ar
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
as
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
at
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
au
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
av
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
aw
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ax
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ay
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
az
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ba
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bb
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bc
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bd
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
be
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bf
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bg
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bh
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bi
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
cp
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
bx
- Yes—
- No—
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

Calculadoras de probabilidad · Glosario · Cursos gratuitos

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mercados

Mojtaba Khamenei

Mohammad Khatami

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Mostafa Pourmohammadi

Hassan Shariatmadari

Alireza Arafi

Hassan Khomeini

No Head of State

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Masoud Pezeshkian

Hassan Rouhani

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Maryam Rajavi

Ali Motahari

Abbas Araghchi

Ahmad Vahidi

Reza Pahlavi

Sadegh Larijani

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel

Massoud Rajavi

Saeed Jalili

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani

Mohsen Araki

Sadegh Mahsouli

Nasir Hosseini

Navid Shomali

Ali Larijani

Mustafa Hijri

Reza Pirzadeh

ae

af

o

ag

ah

ai

aj

ak

al

am

an

ao

ap

bj

bk

bl

bm

bn

bo

bp

bq

br

bs

bt

bu

bv

bw

by

bz

cw

cx

cy

cz

p

q

r

s

t

u

v

w

x

y

z

aa

ab

ac