Mercados de predicción de Política
Elecciones, legislación y eventos políticos valorados por la multitud.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $936.5K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance: 21%
Vol. 24h $703.8K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 60%
Vol. 24h $540.5K · Cierra 5 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 43%
Vol. 24h $512.1K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
200-219: 49%
Vol. 24h $460.5K · Cierra 2 oct 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 19%
Vol. 24h $380K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026?
40-64: 100%
Vol. 24h $337.6K · Cierra 30 sept 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
September 30: 100%
Vol. 24h $335.9K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027: 39%
Vol. 24h $248.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance: 50%
Vol. 24h $235.7K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 77%
Vol. 24h $215.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 11%
Vol. 24h $149.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru Nazare: 33%
Vol. 24h $147K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Roger Marshall (R): 72%
Vol. 24h $120.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027: 25%
Vol. 24h $114.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
October 31: 63%
Vol. 24h $113.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
200-219: 27%
Vol. 24h $112.9K · Cierra 6 oct 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $112.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2027: 32%
Vol. 24h $112.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro: 72%
Vol. 24h $108.2K · Cierra 5 oct 2026