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ThePolyAcademy
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Iran leadership change by...?

Mercados

  • April 30

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $5M · Liquidez —

  • December 31

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volumen $4.9M · Liquidez $120.2K

  • June 30

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $4.4M · Liquidez —

  • May 31

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $3.4M · Liquidez —

  • March 31

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $3.2M · Liquidez —

  • September 30

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $1.7M · Liquidez $60K

  • August 31

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $1.6M · Liquidez —

  • July 31

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $1.6M · Liquidez —

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes25%
    • No76%

    Volumen $348.9K · Liquidez $55.2K

  • October 31

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volumen $224.7K · Liquidez $115.7K

  • November 30

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volumen $85.7K · Liquidez $85.1K

  • August 22

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $79.5K · Liquidez —

  • August 15

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $61.8K · Liquidez —

  • March 13

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen — · Liquidez —

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.