Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 49%
Vol. 24h $1M · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%
Vol. 24h $1M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
Vol. 24h $798.6K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $564.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 35%
Vol. 24h $493.2K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 24: 93%
Vol. 24h $409.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Iotova 10-20%: 59%
Vol. 24h $216K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 92%
Vol. 24h $151.9K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $138.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $121.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $113.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran coup attempt by...?
December 31, 2027: 23%
Vol. 24h $99.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Committee to Protect Journalists: 13%
Vol. 24h $93.3K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 89%
Vol. 24h $90.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $72.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027: 53%
Vol. 24h $71.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 39%
Vol. 24h $60K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 86%
Vol. 24h $55.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 26: 90%
Vol. 24h $42.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $34.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 93%
Vol. 24h $31.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $28.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 18%
Vol. 24h $26.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 66%
Vol. 24h $24.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $24.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $18.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $17.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-29: 71%
Vol. 24h $16.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 84%
Vol. 24h $16.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $15.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 84%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $12.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson: 77%
Vol. 24h $11.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person M: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.5K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 40%
Vol. 24h $10.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 16: 88%
Vol. 24h $10.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 98%
Vol. 24h $10.1K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
Vol. 24h $10K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $9.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 80%
Vol. 24h $8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes: 85%
Vol. 24h $7.7K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person X: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person Y: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.6K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
UAE: 67%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot: 56%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027