Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 83%
Vol. 24h $718.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 47%
Vol. 24h $522.1K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 44%
Vol. 24h $494.2K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 98%
Vol. 24h $309.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $184.1K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $145.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 27%
Vol. 24h $91.6K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 15: 97%
Vol. 24h $75K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $70K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $61.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $55.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $41K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $38.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $36.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 15: 90%
Vol. 24h $33.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
Vol. 24h $32.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $32.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 13%
Vol. 24h $32.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 76%
Vol. 24h $26.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 76%
Vol. 24h $24.4K · Cierra 29 nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 30%
Vol. 24h $24.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 11%
Vol. 24h $22.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
Vol. 24h $19.1K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $16.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $15.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 4: 80%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $14.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
Vol. 24h $13.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?
No: 100%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 87%
Vol. 24h $12.8K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2027: 21%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $11.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 56%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes: 82%
Vol. 24h $11K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 49%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
4+: 66%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
October 2: 96%
Vol. 24h $9.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 87%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Candidate B: 50%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 77%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 94%
Vol. 24h $7.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman: 80%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?
June 30, 2027: 31%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027