Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 43%
Vol. 24h $438.1K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 11%
Vol. 24h $407.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 86%
Vol. 24h $402.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $292.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 14: 96%
Vol. 24h $199.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 98%
Vol. 24h $191.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $174.4K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
Vol. 24h $157.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $67K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 27%
Vol. 24h $59.6K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $55.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 37%
Vol. 24h $27.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $21.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $20.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
Vol. 24h $19.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $18.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $18.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 78%
Vol. 24h $15.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $15.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 87%
Vol. 24h $15.1K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 22%
Vol. 24h $14.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Donald Trump: 9%
Vol. 24h $13.3K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $13.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 88%
Vol. 24h $12.7K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31: 17%
Vol. 24h $12.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Candidate Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 79%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 28%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Candidate S: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.6K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person Y: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 87%
Vol. 24h $5.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 61%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Person P: 50%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 56%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 86%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Japan: 18%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027