Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 30%
Vol. 24h $147.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 86%
Vol. 24h $140.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 46%
Vol. 24h $109.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 94%
Vol. 24h $105K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 64%
Vol. 24h $101.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 69%
Vol. 24h $63.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 23%
Vol. 24h $36.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeek: 28%
Vol. 24h $28.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 61%
Vol. 24h $28.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 59%
Vol. 24h $22.7K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 98%
Vol. 24h $20K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
55%+: 90%
Vol. 24h $19.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 81%
Vol. 24h $17.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 88%
Vol. 24h $16.4K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 67%
Vol. 24h $15.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 52%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 69%
Vol. 24h $11.4K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
December 31: 100%
Vol. 24h $9.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?
50%+: 97%
Vol. 24h $8.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?
October 27: 17%
Vol. 24h $7.7K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Meta: 63%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027: 65%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
No: 67%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Anthropic: 78%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 70%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 62%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 84%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 21%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Meta: 63%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?
June 30: 37%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
December 31, 2027: 36%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Moonshot: 51%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 43%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 82%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Anthropic: 97%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
November 9–November 15: 22%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 51%
Vol. 24h $4.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 20%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Alibaba: 52%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 31%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company R: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
OpenAI: 54%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 34%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
<5: 76%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 59%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 94%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027