Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $16.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 89%
Vol. 24h $15.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$5.00-$5.50: 55%
Vol. 24h $15.4K · Cierra 1 oct 2026

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 80%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 36%
Vol. 24h $11.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 24%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 1 dic 2026

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
On or prior to October 1: 31%
Vol. 24h $9.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
October 31: 24%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 96%
Vol. 24h $5.8K · Cierra 30 jun 2027

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
Microsoft: 32%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Text Arena Debut?
1440+: 46%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 30 jun 2027

Trump names AI "czar" by...?
October 4: 38%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 5 oct 2026

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?
Muse from Meta: 78%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 2 oct 2026

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Hodge Conjecture: 35%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
Anthropic: 81%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 dic 2026

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
October 28: 22%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 20 nov 2026

America.gov removed by October 31?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

