Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $2.1M · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 69%
Vol. 24h $234.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 70%
Vol. 24h $107K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Yes: 64%
Vol. 24h $74.7K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CXMT: 31%
Vol. 24h $64.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 99%
Vol. 24h $62.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 83%
Vol. 24h $40K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
No: 66%
Vol. 24h $30.9K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 25%
Vol. 24h $30.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
Vol. 24h $27.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 46%
Vol. 24h $21.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 93%
Vol. 24h $16.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 29%
Vol. 24h $16.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 16%
Vol. 24h $16K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 76%
Vol. 24h $14.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
Vol. 24h $13K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 52%
Vol. 24h $12.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 68%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 21%
Vol. 24h $10.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 94%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $8.3K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 52%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 60%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 25%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
Inde Navarrette: 59%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 84%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 90%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$3.00-$3.50: 19%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 20 nov 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 12%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 52%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 25%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 83%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 21 oct 2026
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Denver, CO: 93%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Company B: 50%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 66%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1495+: 33%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$7.00+: 72%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes: 99%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 96%
Vol. 24h $2.4K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5-7: 48%
Vol. 24h $2.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Anthropic: 28%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Gemini Argon released by...?
January 31: 28%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.60+: 62%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2029