Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 20%
Vol. 24h $72.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 89%
Vol. 24h $51.6K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 53%
Vol. 24h $39.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
Vol. 24h $27.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 63%
Vol. 24h $27K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 50%
Vol. 24h $23.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 60%
Vol. 24h $21.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 62%
Vol. 24h $17K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
Vol. 24h $16.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 27%
Vol. 24h $15.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
55%+: 92%
Vol. 24h $14.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut?
1470+: 81%
Vol. 24h $13.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 65%
Vol. 24h $13.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Company F: 50%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
Vol. 24h $13.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $10.6K · Cierra 20 nov 2026
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 24%
Vol. 24h $10.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANT: 49%
Vol. 24h $10.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut?
Top 20: 69%
Vol. 24h $10.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Kimi K3.1 Pro: HLE-Diamond Debut?
20%+: 88%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 77%
Vol. 24h $8.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 84%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 79%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 81%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?
No release by November 30: 26%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5-7: 59%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic: 89%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 94%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
1430+: 80%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 98%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
OpenAI: 99%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Best AI model on November 2?
gemini-4-argon-high: 68%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 3 nov 2026
When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?
October 26–November 1: 39%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 28 dic 2026
Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 7%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Anthropic: 77%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1470+: 33%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
OpenRouter token usage week of October 26?
185-195T: 33%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 2 nov 2026
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Alibaba: 52%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
50%+: 92%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?
June 30: 45%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?
1440+: 63%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company D: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
No: 53%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 17%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by...?
December 31: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 24%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
3-6 hours: 75%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026