Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 30%
Vol. 24h $86.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 91%
Vol. 24h $55.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 59%
Vol. 24h $46.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 71%
Vol. 24h $42.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 94%
Vol. 24h $38.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 50%
Vol. 24h $38.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 59%
Vol. 24h $33.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 62%
Vol. 24h $32.8K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 27%
Vol. 24h $23K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANT: 51%
Vol. 24h $17.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
55%+: 95%
Vol. 24h $17.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
Vol. 24h $17.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
Vol. 24h $15.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 55%
Vol. 24h $13.1K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic: 89%
Vol. 24h $13K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 82%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 24%
Vol. 24h $12K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut?
1470+: 72%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 85%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 60%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Kimi K3.1 Pro: HLE-Diamond Debut?
20%+: 88%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5-7: 58%
Vol. 24h $8.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 96%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 22%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?
October 29: 25%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut?
Top 20: 65%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 60%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
1430+: 77%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027: 64%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 82%
Vol. 24h $5.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 98%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Best AI model on November 2?
gemini-4-argon-high: 81%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company B: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?
June 30: 43%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
Yes: 69%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
December 31, 2027: 38%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?
1440+: 61%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?
October 26–November 1: 48%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 28 dic 2026
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1470+: 39%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
Anthropic: 94%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?
50%+: 91%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 85%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$3.00+: 59%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Anthropic: 71%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 86%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Perplexity AI: 13%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#3: 25%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027