Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 76%
Vol. 24h $169.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 77%
Vol. 24h $84.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 17%
Vol. 24h $25.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 98%
Vol. 24h $24.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 65%
Vol. 24h $23.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 29%
Vol. 24h $20.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $19.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 48%
Vol. 24h $14.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 29%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Company J: 50%
Vol. 24h $13.1K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 91%
Vol. 24h $13K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 77%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 74%
Vol. 24h $12K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 67%
Vol. 24h $11.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 57%
Vol. 24h $9.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 77%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 50%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 93%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 92%
Vol. 24h $6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 14%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Meta: 59%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
Muse from Meta: 75%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
DeepSeek: 99%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
675-725T: 55%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
3-6 hours: 60%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Denver, CO: 94%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 55%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 25%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 99%
Vol. 24h $1.9K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 85%
Vol. 24h $1.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Perplexity AI: 11%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 24%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
December 31: 100%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
<5: 46%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
$40+: 99%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic: 85%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 7: 50%
Vol. 24h $1.3K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Best AI model on October 19?
gemini-4-argon-high: 99%
Vol. 24h $1.3K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 77%
Vol. 24h $1.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?
Anthropic: 75%
Vol. 24h $1.1K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
December 31, 2027: 23%
Vol. 24h $1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
Company I: 50%
Vol. 24h $1K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 85%
Vol. 24h $1K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 95%
Vol. 24h $996.4 · Cierra 31 oct 2026
What will Meta say during their next earnings call?
Revenue 5+ times: 92%
Vol. 24h $995.5 · Cierra 22 oct 2026
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 99%
Vol. 24h $964.5 · Cierra 20 oct 2026