Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30: 98%
Vol. 24h $97.6K · Cierra 1 dic 2026

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 79%
Vol. 24h $91.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 70%
Vol. 24h $69.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $65.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2029

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
Vol. 24h $58.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2030

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $39.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2029

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 81%
Vol. 24h $32.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
Vol. 24h $26.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $24.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2029

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
Vol. 24h $21.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 93%
Vol. 24h $20.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 80%
Vol. 24h $18.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 83%
Vol. 24h $16K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
Vol. 24h $14.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2029

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 61%
Vol. 24h $14.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30: 98%
Vol. 24h $13.8K · Cierra 1 dic 2026

Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 72%
Vol. 24h $13K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 77%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2029

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 86%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 90%
Vol. 24h $8.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company B: 50%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 61%
Vol. 24h $7.4K · Cierra 20 oct 2026

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 80%
Vol. 24h $6.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 79%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 30 jun 2027

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 78%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Perplexity AI: 11%
Vol. 24h $5.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 55%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 20 oct 2026

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 73%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 94%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 55%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 8%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 19%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 67%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes: 92%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
December 31: 34%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 23%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2030

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 11: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 abr 2027

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture: 31%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 20%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+: 83%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 30 jun 2027

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 67%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by October 31: 89%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
3-6 hours: 51%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

OpenAI resumes training by...?
October 31: 61%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

