Mercados de predicción de Política
Elecciones, legislación y eventos políticos valorados por la multitud.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 65%
Vol. 24h $2.1M · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 79%
Vol. 24h $1.8M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
260-279: 26%
Vol. 24h $716K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 53%
Vol. 24h $637.4K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 17%
Vol. 24h $615.2K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 22: 96%
Vol. 24h $599.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $583K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 65%
Vol. 24h $521K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 92%
Vol. 24h $471.9K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
Vol. 24h $455.6K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance: 20%
Vol. 24h $408.8K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $291.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 2027: 72%
Vol. 24h $289.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 66%
Vol. 24h $285.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $260.2K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia: 68%
Vol. 24h $228.9K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027: 25%
Vol. 24h $223.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
Vol. 24h $194.8K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 56%
Vol. 24h $172K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Yashar: 70%
Vol. 24h $147.8K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31: 73%
Vol. 24h $147.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D): 79%
Vol. 24h $132.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
300-319: 14%
Vol. 24h $129.2K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Aaron Ford (D): 66%
Vol. 24h $122.9K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 60%
Vol. 24h $120.5K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $115.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Flavio Bolsonaro: 71%
Vol. 24h $107.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 64%
Vol. 24h $107.1K · Cierra 29 nov 2026
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $107K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 74%
Vol. 24h $99.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
Vol. 24h $99.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 71%
Vol. 24h $94.1K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24: 45%
Vol. 24h $91.3K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 63%
Vol. 24h $90.9K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola: 75%
Vol. 24h $82.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
US imports Russian diesel by...?
December 31: 73%
Vol. 24h $80.3K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Pete Ricketts (R): 71%
Vol. 24h $76.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 92%
Vol. 24h $74.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 78%
Vol. 24h $69K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R): 57%
Vol. 24h $67.5K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Texas Governor Election Winner
Greg Abbott (R): 69%
Vol. 24h $64.3K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47: 41%
Vol. 24h $61.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 70%
Vol. 24h $60.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D): 66%
Vol. 24h $59.2K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Aleksandar Vučić: 67%
Vol. 24h $57.5K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Brad Bradford: 53%
Vol. 24h $56.2K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Next leader out of power before 2027?
None before 2027: 47%
Vol. 24h $55.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R): 82%
Vol. 24h $52.3K · Cierra 4 nov 2026