Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
Markets
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $23.2K · Liquidity $21.3K
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order to, or signs any bill into law to, or otherwise takes action to officially rename any ocean by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the oceans are defined as: the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the Arctic Ocean, and the Southern/Antarctic Ocean. Officially renaming any one of these five oceans is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of the new name chosen. Renaming a subdivision of one of these oceans, such as the North Atlantic Ocean or the South Pacific Ocean, will also qualify. If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames any of the five oceans accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Renaming any other body of water, including any sea, gulf, bay, strait, channel, or lake, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed one of the five oceans will suffice.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More World markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 85%
24h vol $333.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 94%
24h vol $55.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 32%
24h vol $30.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No: 91%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
No: 94%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 75%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 83%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Yes: 81%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 94%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 11%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $33.8K · Ends Jan 3, 2027

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Oct 20, 2026

