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Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?

Markets

  • 1

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $14.6K

  • 4+

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $14.3K

  • 2

    • Yes32%
    • No69%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $21.5K

  • 3

    • Yes40%
    • No61%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $13.5K

  • <1

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during October 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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