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Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Markets

  • November 30, 2026

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $14.7K · Liquidity $34.7K

  • March 31, 2027

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $20.8K

  • December 31, 2026

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $25.1K

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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