Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 77%
24h vol $56.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 51%
24h vol $51.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 81%
24h vol $43.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 98%
24h vol $23.2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 70%
24h vol $23K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 32%
24h vol $20.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $19.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 48%
24h vol $15.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 64%
24h vol $14.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
October 31: 99%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 64%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 93%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 93%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 92%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best AI model on October 19?
gemini-4-argon-high: 97%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
24h vol $7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 64%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 24%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture: 33%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 93%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 17%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Company F: 50%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 80%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Perplexity AI: 11%
24h vol $4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 3: 50%
24h vol $4K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 21%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
625-675T: 50%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
3-6 hours: 86%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 25%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Denver, CO: 92%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 83%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
Inde Navarrette: 60%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?
85% to 87.5%: 68%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Dec 23, 2026
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 14%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026
Erling Braut Haaland: 84%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 88%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 54%
24h vol $2K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
December 31, 2027: 26%
24h vol $2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$7.00+: 77%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
No: 94%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 85%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best AI model on October 26?
gemini-4-argon-high: 76%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 53%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027