Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 24%
24h vol $130.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 79%
24h vol $62.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 97%
24h vol $62.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 54%
24h vol $48.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 25: 21%
24h vol $34.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 71%
24h vol $33.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 20%
24h vol $22.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 26%
24h vol $21K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 21%
24h vol $17.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 89%
24h vol $13.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 87%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 91%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Company L: 50%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 98%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 28%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 21%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 84%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?
MiniMax: 74%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 30%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
Other: 50%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 82%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 61%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$7.00+: 86%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 41%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 93%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 36%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?
June 30, 2027: 45%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
OpenAI: 68%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of November?
OpenAI: 65%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
DeepSeek: 97%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
No solution by Dec 31, 2027: 35%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 92%
24h vol $3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
December 31: 100%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?
June 30, 2027: 32%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 59%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Company J: 50%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 75%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$0.75-$1.00: 54%
24h vol $2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
Muse from Meta: 83%
24h vol $2K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Meta: 71%
24h vol $2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?
No: 89%
24h vol $2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Best AI model on October 26?
gemini-4-argon-high: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
Google: 54%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Oct 27, 2026