Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
October 31: 99%
24h vol $157.5K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 71%
24h vol $69.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 77%
24h vol $52.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $49.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $29K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
24h vol $28.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 91%
24h vol $27.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 88%
24h vol $22.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 85%
24h vol $21.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 88%
24h vol $17.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 52%
24h vol $15.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Gemini Argon released by...?
October 31: 98%
24h vol $15.4K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 61%
24h vol $14.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 59%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 91%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 85%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 80%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 32%
24h vol $8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 78%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 79%
24h vol $7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+: 85%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company I: 50%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 88%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 76%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 91%
24h vol $5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 55%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
Company H: 50%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 96%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 8%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
December 31: 37%
24h vol $4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
Other: 50%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
Other: 50%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture: 31%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 73%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
3-6 hours: 51%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
OpenAI resumes training by...?
October 31: 55%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
OpenAI: 65%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by October 31: 89%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 43: 50%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 62%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
Meta: 73%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 60%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 67%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028