Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 71%
24h vol $50.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 76%
24h vol $43.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 71%
24h vol $35.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CXMT: 31%
24h vol $34.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 98%
24h vol $33.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
December 31: 100%
24h vol $17.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best AI model on October 19?
gemini-4-argon-high: 90%
24h vol $16.7K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 63%
24h vol $16.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 25%
24h vol $15.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 46%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 16%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 93%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
Company M: 50%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 31%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 79%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
Dolly Parton: 61%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
Inde Navarrette: 60%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best AI model on October 26?
gemini-4-argon-high: 74%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 85%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
Anthropic: 65%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.60+: 73%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 63%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
Company M: 50%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
OpenAI: 55%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 74%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
Other: 50%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 52%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 64%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$5.50+: 64%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by October 31: 92%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 65%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company D: 50%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
$40+: 97%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
Company G: 50%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Perplexity AI: 11%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
Company D: 50%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 25%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 34%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 85%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Company C: 50%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31: 32%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 66%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027